Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.035418 0.041079 0.047360 0.054849 0.063538 0.073306 0.085128
2025-12-28 0.027016 0.034544 0.043744 0.055825 0.071292 0.090458 0.116058
2026-01-04 0.021765 0.029980 0.040788 0.056073 0.077175 0.105352 0.145963
2026-01-11 0.018202 0.026646 0.038450 0.056187 0.082240 0.119237 0.176009
2026-01-18 0.015789 0.024359 0.036979 0.056963 0.087934 0.134317 0.209465
2026-01-25 0.014087 0.022773 0.036170 0.058400 0.094542 0.151304 0.247853
2026-02-01 0.012043 0.020305 0.033593 0.056595 0.095645 0.159672 0.273486
2026-02-08 0.010640 0.018652 0.032046 0.056156 0.098762 0.171463 0.306096
2026-02-15 0.009452 0.017181 0.030577 0.055585 0.101466 0.182726 0.339085
2026-02-22 0.008667 0.016304 0.029996 0.056458 0.106752 0.199028 0.383147
2026-03-01 0.007829 0.015209 0.028873 0.056153 0.109766 0.211465 0.421469
2026-03-08 0.006950 0.013920 0.027220 0.054607 0.110160 0.218919 0.450938
2026-03-15 0.006163 0.012725 0.025629 0.053028 0.110389 0.226280 0.481685
2026-03-22 0.005748 0.012227 0.025353 0.054076 0.116107 0.245385 0.539575
2026-03-29 0.005302 0.011605 0.024742 0.054338 0.120188 0.261579 0.593418
2026-04-05 0.004893 0.011007 0.024107 0.054452 0.123943 0.277504 0.648804
2026-04-12 0.004579 0.010580 0.023782 0.055205 0.129202 0.297354 0.715878
2026-04-19 0.004343 0.010299 0.023743 0.056598 0.136098 0.321737 0.797015
2026-04-26 0.003910 0.009501 0.022436 0.054849 0.135331 0.328184 0.835365
2026-05-03 0.003609 0.008984 0.021718 0.054424 0.137714 0.342423 0.895170
2026-05-10 0.003330 0.008485 0.020988 0.053871 0.139702 0.355925 0.954940
2026-05-17 0.003156 0.008230 0.020819 0.054716 0.145365 0.379346 1.044172
2026-05-24 0.002937 0.007829 0.020239 0.054421 0.148002 0.395296 1.115380